The United States plans to increase natural gas exports to Mexico through new pipelines operational by 2024 and 2025. According to the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), projects like the Tula-Villa de Reyes, Tuxpan-Tula, and Cuxtal Phase II pipelines are expected to significantly boost exports to Mexico by connecting to the Energía Mayakan pipeline. Although these projects began partial operations between 2022 and 2023, they have not yet reached full capacity.

Moreover, an increase in flows through the South Texas-Tuxpan underwater pipeline is anticipated in 2024, coinciding with the launch of the Fast LNG Altamira Natural Gas Export project, Mexico's first to receive natural gas from the United States.

The EIA's Short-Term Energy Outlook forecasts a 6% growth in U.S. net exports to Mexico in 2024, reaching 13.6 billion cubic feet per day. By 2025, an increase of 20% is expected, achieving 16.4 billion cubic feet per day.

Natural gas exports from the United States to Mexico, primarily through the southern border of Texas, rose by 9% in 2023, reaching 5.6 billion cubic feet per day. West Texas was the largest contributor, with a 20% increase over the previous year.

Since 2017, pipeline exports from West Texas to Mexico have shown steady growth due to the operation of more pipelines connected in the central and southwestern parts of Mexico.

Mexico imported 5.7 billion cubic feet per day in 2022, while its production was 2.6 billion cubic feet. Imports are estimated to decrease to 4.9 billion by the end of 2023 and to 4.8 billion in 2025. On the other hand, national production is projected to increase to 3.8 billion in 2024 and 3.9 billion in 2025, according to SENER.

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